Mahdi Taghavi; Nilufar Hosein Tash
Volume 11, Issue 42 , October 2011, , Pages 187-212
Abstract
One way to expand the trade flows of Iran is investigation and testing of the
new international trade patterns about Iran
!
s trade. So, analysing of gravity model
as the most applicable model of trade is useful .Gravity type models have often
been used to analyse trade flows based on the economic ...
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One way to expand the trade flows of Iran is investigation and testing of the
new international trade patterns about Iran
!
s trade. So, analysing of gravity model
as the most applicable model of trade is useful .Gravity type models have often
been used to analyse trade flows based on the economic sizes of (often using GDP
measurements) and distance between countries and trade blocks. In this paper, we
test the gravity equation for analysing of Iran
!
s export to 12 oil exporting countries.
Result shows that Iran
!
s export to developed oil exporting countries like UK and
Norway is according to the both factors of gravity model, contain GDP and
distance. Also, these results are significant with other oil exporting (developing)
countries. Although some countries like United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia,
Libya, Nigeria are exception. In fact, existing factors in gravity model (GDP and
distance) have no effect on determination of Iran
Mehdi Taghavi; Ali Gholipoor Soleymani
Volume 9, Issue 34 , October 2009, , Pages 157-172
Abstract
Which factors are considered as effective elements to growth of tourism in Iran?
Additional number of the room in a hotel, the cost of a room in a hotel, or the exchange rate? The training of the human resources who are working for the tourist industry, the tourist agencies, inflation rate and war are ...
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Which factors are considered as effective elements to growth of tourism in Iran?
Additional number of the room in a hotel, the cost of a room in a hotel, or the exchange rate? The training of the human resources who are working for the tourist industry, the tourist agencies, inflation rate and war are the explanatory variables that have an effective role in increasing the incomes of the foreign tourism as a dependent variable in Iran. Research Data is time series 1979-2007. ARDL technique are used to estimate the long-run model and to determine the cause- effect relationship among the variables.
The results of this research shows that the coefficient of the variables which are related to the (number of the room in a hotel), (the foreign exchange receipt of the previous periods), (the cost of a room in a hotel), (the exchange rate), and (the tourist agencies) are meaningful and have the expected sign.
Mahdi Taghavi; Hossein Mohammadi
Volume 9, Issue 32 , April 2009, , Pages 15-42
Abstract
The role of capital and investment in the process of economic growth and development has mentioned in many economic theories. Shortage of investment in any country is an incentive for efficient use of investment to increase the economic growth.
In this paper, we compare the productivity of investment ...
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The role of capital and investment in the process of economic growth and development has mentioned in many economic theories. Shortage of investment in any country is an incentive for efficient use of investment to increase the economic growth.
In this paper, we compare the productivity of investment in four economic sectors namely, agriculture, petroleum, industry and services in Iran. For this purpose, we use incremental capital output ratio at first and compute it for these sectors. Then we use an endogenous growth model to assess the impact of investment in these four sectors on economic growth.
Our results show that productivity of investment in petroleum and agriculture is higher that industry and service.
Nikzad Manteghi; Mahdi Taghavi
Volume 8, Issue 29 , July 2008, , Pages 181-204
Abstract
Concurrent with the acceleration of international export & import, there is a tendency toward the Preferential Trade Agreements (PTA) among all countries, including the Asians. Indeed, they have a twice propensity of joining WTO and making up the regional contracts at the same time. By now about ...
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Concurrent with the acceleration of international export & import, there is a tendency toward the Preferential Trade Agreements (PTA) among all countries, including the Asians. Indeed, they have a twice propensity of joining WTO and making up the regional contracts at the same time. By now about 97% of world trade belongs to such countries which are the members of at least one PTA, comparing to their share of 72% in 1990.
PTA is an agreement between several countries which their tariffs on produced commodities less than what the non-members should afford. Asia and Middle East are among the regions of which have such a contracts; either bilateral or regional. The point among the Islamic neighbors such as Iran, Pakistan and Turkey is very familiar.
In this study, using the methodology of SMART model, we check the effects of Trade Creation (TC) and Trade Diversion (TD) of Iran for either Pakistan or Turkey and vice versa.
Mahdi Taghavi; Azadmehr Kahram; Parvaneh Salatin
Volume 7, Issue 27 , January 2008, , Pages 15-50
Abstract
The terms of trade is one of the important tools for the macro-economic analysis and the most principle issue in this analysis is a dual relationship between the terms of trade and the exchange rate. The changes in the relative prices are the consequent of the fluctuations in the terms of ...
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The terms of trade is one of the important tools for the macro-economic analysis and the most principle issue in this analysis is a dual relationship between the terms of trade and the exchange rate. The changes in the relative prices are the consequent of the fluctuations in the terms of trade and exchange rate.
This paper focuses on the short-run and long-run effects of the terms of trade on the exchange rate in Iran's economy during 1959-2004,by using the:ARDL(Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Model),VECM(Vector Error Correction Model)and the impulse response function of VAR(Vector Auto-Regressive).
The results show that although there is a relationship between the terms of trade and exchange rate but the impact of the terms of trade shocks on the exchange rate fluctuation is petty and the main changes of exchange rate in Iran is the consequent of itself.GDP has a positive effec
on the terms of trade improvement and congruently the terms of trade improvement reduces inflation. The other result signifies that the terms of trade has a negative effect on the economic growth. This is the consequent of adoption of wrong economic –commercial policy.
